// Copyright (C) Stichting Deltares 2016. All rights reserved. // // This file is part of Ringtoets. // // Ringtoets is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify // it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by // the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or // (at your option) any later version. // // This program is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, // but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of // MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the // GNU General Public License for more details. // // You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License // along with this program. If not, see . // // All names, logos, and references to "Deltares" are registered trademarks of // Stichting Deltares and remain full property of Stichting Deltares at all times. // All rights reserved. using MathNet.Numerics.Distributions; using Ringtoets.Common.Data.Probability; namespace Ringtoets.Common.Service { /// /// Service for calculating . /// public static class ProbabilityAssessmentService { /// /// Calculates based on the provided parameters. /// /// The return period to assess for. /// The contribution of the failure mechanism as a percentage (0-100) /// to the total of the failure probability of the assessment section. /// The 'N' parameter used to factor in the 'length effect'. /// The reliability to use for the calculation. public static ProbabilityAssessmentOutput Calculate(int norm, double contribution, double lengthEffectN, double reliability) { var requiredProbability = RequiredProbability(contribution / 100.0, norm, lengthEffectN); var probability = ReliabilityToProbability(reliability); var requiredReliability = ProbabilityToReliability(requiredProbability); var factorOfSafety = FactorOfSafety(reliability, requiredReliability); return new ProbabilityAssessmentOutput(1/requiredProbability, requiredReliability, 1/probability, reliability, factorOfSafety); } private static double RequiredProbability(double contribution, int norm, double lengthEffectN) { return contribution*(1.0/norm)/lengthEffectN; } private static double ReliabilityToProbability(double reliability) { return Normal.CDF(0, 1, -reliability); } private static double ProbabilityToReliability(double probability) { return Normal.InvCDF(0, 1, 1 - probability); } private static double FactorOfSafety(double reliability, double requiredReliability) { return reliability/requiredReliability; } } }